NBA Postseason Best Bets (5/17)
Alex Christenson
Keenan AllenReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Jaguars vs. Chargers
Right now, Keenan Allen’s receiving yards prop is set at 79.5 yards (-130/+100).
The public has bet the OVER up to 79.5 (-130) after it opened @ 75.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-most pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 67.7% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.6 plays per game.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
- Keenan Allen has been among the leading wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 80.0 yards per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.
Cons
- The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.5%) to wideouts this year (63.5%).
- The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, yielding 7.77 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in football.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars cornerbacks project as the 7th-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
76
Receiving Yards
76
Receiving Yards
