Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Keenan Allen from EV Insight

Keenan AllenReceiving Yards

Right now, Keenan Allen’s receiving yards prop is set at 79.5 yards (-130/+100).

The public has bet the OVER up to 79.5 (-130) after it opened @ 75.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-most pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 67.7% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.6 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
Keenan Allen has been among the leading wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 80.0 yards per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.

Cons

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.5%) to wideouts this year (63.5%).
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, yielding 7.77 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in football.
The Jacksonville Jaguars cornerbacks project as the 7th-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
76
Receiving Yards