Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Kadarius ToneyReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Titans vs. Giants
Right now, Kadarius Toney’s receiving yards prop is set at 38.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 38.5 (-110) after it opened @ 37.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects Kadarius Toney to accrue 6.3 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among WRs.
- Kadarius Toney has been among the top wide receivers in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a terrific 5.62 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 90th percentile.
- The Tennessee Titans defense has conceded the 3rd-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (172.0) versus wide receivers since the start of last season.
- The Tennessee Titans defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
- The Tennessee Titans safeties rank as the 2nd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
- The New York Giants offensive line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
- The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box against opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in football. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
Projection
THE BLITZ
47
Receiving Yards
47
Receiving Yards
