Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Kadarius Toney from EV Insight

Kadarius ToneyReceiving Yards

Right now, Kadarius Toney’s receiving yards prop is set at 38.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet up the OVER up to 38.5 (-110) after it opened @ 37.5 (-115).

Pros

The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Kadarius Toney to accrue 6.3 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among WRs.
Kadarius Toney has been among the top wide receivers in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a terrific 5.62 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 90th percentile.
The Tennessee Titans defense has conceded the 3rd-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (172.0) versus wide receivers since the start of last season.
The Tennessee Titans defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Tennessee Titans safeties rank as the 2nd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
The New York Giants offensive line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box against opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in football. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Projection

THE BLITZ
47
Receiving Yards