Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Isaiah HodginsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Giants vs. Cowboys
Right now, Isaiah Hodgins’s receiving yards prop is set at 29.5 yards (+105/-135).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 29.5 (-135) after it opened @ 30.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Giants are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Giants to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New York Giants have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 59.6 plays per game.
- The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 34.9 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
Cons
- The Giants rank as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 56.2% pass rate.
- The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
- Isaiah Hodgins has been among the bottom wideouts in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 16th percentile.
- The Dallas Cowboys linebackers profile as the 6th-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
35
Receiving Yards
35
Receiving Yards
