Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Gerald Everett from EV Insight

Gerald EverettReceiving Yards

Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 31.5 yards (+105/-125).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 31.5 (-125) after it opened @ 32.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-most pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 67.7% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.6 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Gerald Everett to earn 4.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 83rd percentile among TEs.

Cons

Gerald Everett has gone out for fewer passes this year (59.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (71.0%).
Gerald Everett’s receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 82.2% to 69.2%.
Gerald Everett’s receiving efficiency has worsened this year, totaling a measly 6.78 yards-per-target compared to a 7.95 mark last year.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
32
Receiving Yards