MLB Best Bets – Free (Wednesday 5/15)
Josh Gross
Gerald EverettReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Chargers vs. Raiders
Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-127/-108).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 33.5 (-127) after it opened @ 30.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Gerald Everett to earn 5.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among TEs.
- The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers profile as the 10th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
Cons
- The Chargers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating a rushing game script.
- The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has been quite strong when opposing TEs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.21 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-least in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
41
Receiving Yards
41
Receiving Yards
