Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for George Kittle from EV Insight

George KittleReceiving Yards

Right now, George Kittle’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet up the OVER up to 47.5 (-115) after it opened @ 46.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to earn 5.6 targets in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among TEs.
George Kittle has been an integral part of his team’s pass game, garnering a Target Share of 22.7% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 98th percentile among TEs.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Chicago Bears defensive ends project as the 6th-worst collection of DEs in the league since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.
The Chicago Bears defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

Cons

The 49ers are a giant 7-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 47.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 119.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers offense as the 9th-worst paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.76 seconds per play.
The Chicago Bears defense has allowed the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 35.0) versus tight ends since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
43
Receiving Yards