Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Elijah Moore from EV Insight

Elijah MooreReceiving Yards

Right now, Elijah Moore’s receiving yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet up the OVER up to 53.5 (-110) after it opened @ 47.5 (-115).

Pros

The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Elijah Moore to garner 7.6 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among wideouts.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the 5th-worst safety corps in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The New York Jets offensive line has afforded their QB 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 8th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 60.4 plays per game.
Elijah Moore has been among the worst possession receivers in football, completing just 58.2% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 15th percentile among WRs
Elijah Moore has been among the least effective pass-catchers in the league, averaging a lowly 7.34 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 19th percentile among wideouts
The Baltimore Ravens defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-fastest in football since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
58
Receiving Yards