Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Drake LondonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Falcons vs. Panthers
Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the OVER up to 54.5 (-105) after it opened @ 49.5 (-115).
Pros
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Opposing teams have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in football.
- THE BLITZ projects Drake London to total 7.9 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among WRs.
- Drake London has been heavily involved in his team’s offense, earning a Target Share of 29.2% since the start of last season, which places him in the 98th percentile among WRs.
- Drake London has accumulated a colossal 75.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
Cons
- The Falcons are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Atlanta Falcons have run the 8th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.1 plays per game.
- Drake London has been among the worst WRs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 1st percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
74
Receiving Yards
74
Receiving Yards
