Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
David NjokuReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Browns vs. Bengals
Right now, David Njoku’s receiving yards prop is set at 37.5 yards (-123/-111).
The public has bet the OVER up to 37.5 (-123) after it opened @ 36.5 (-117).
Pros
- The Cleveland Browns have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to accumulate 5.0 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.
- David Njoku has been heavily involved in his team’s passing attack, posting a Target Share of 20.4% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 97th percentile among TEs.
- David Njoku has put up a whopping 45.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 93rd percentile among TEs.
- David Njoku has been among the top tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 50.0 yards per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Cincinnati Bengals defense has yielded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 35.0) versus TEs since the start of last season.
- The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
40
Receiving Yards
40
Receiving Yards
