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Chris Meaney
Darren WallerReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Giants vs. Cowboys
Right now, Darren Waller’s receiving yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 45.5 (-110) after it opened @ 47.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Giants are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Giants to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New York Giants have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 59.6 plays per game.
- The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 34.9 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
Cons
- The Giants rank as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 56.2% pass rate.
- The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
- Darren Waller has been among the weakest tight ends in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging just 2.68 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 20th percentile.
- The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has shown good efficiency versus tight ends since the start of last season, allowing 5.78 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in the NFL.
- The Dallas Cowboys linebackers profile as the 6th-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
49
Receiving Yards
49
Receiving Yards
