Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Darnell Mooney from EV Insight

Darnell MooneyReceiving Yards

Right now, Darnell Mooney’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 47.5 (-110) after it opened @ 54.5 (-115).

Pros

The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
Darnell Mooney has run a route on 93.0% of his team’s passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Darnell Mooney to total 7.6 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among wideouts.
Darnell Mooney has compiled a colossal 88.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 88th percentile among wideouts.
The San Francisco 49ers cornerbacks profile as the 5th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 5th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bears to run the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the league.
Darnell Mooney has been among the worst possession receivers in football, hauling in a mere 59.7% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 18th percentile among WRs
The Chicago Bears have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 14.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
59
Receiving Yards