Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dalton Schultz from EV Insight

Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards

Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 5th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to total 7.3 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among TEs.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line grades out as the best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.

Cons

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties project as the 4th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The Dallas Cowboys have faced a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys have incorporated play action on a lowly 23.6% of their passing plays since the start of last season (9th-least in the league), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

Projection

THE BLITZ
59
Receiving Yards