The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Dalton Kincaid to accrue 4.8 targets in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among TEs.
The New York Jets defense has yielded the most receiving yards per game in the NFL (57.0) vs. TEs since the start of last season.
The New York Jets pass defense has not been good when opposing TEs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.99 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in football.
Cons
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.8 plays per game.
The Buffalo Bills offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
The New York Jets defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in football since the start of last season when it comes to pass rush.