Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for D.J. Moore from EV Insight

D.J. MooreReceiving Yards

Right now, D.J. Moore’s receiving yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense as the 2nd-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 25.65 seconds per play.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to notch 8.4 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
D.J. Moore has been a big part of his team’s offense, earning a Target Share of 29.1% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
D.J. Moore has totaled a monstrous 100.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among wideouts.

Cons

The Carolina Panthers offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
D.J. Moore has been among the most unreliable receivers in football, catching a mere 59.7% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 18th percentile among WRs
The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best CB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
The Cleveland Browns defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.42 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-fastest in football since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
66
Receiving Yards