Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
D.J. MooreReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Panthers vs. Browns
Right now, D.J. Moore’s receiving yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense as the 2nd-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 25.65 seconds per play.
- The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects D.J. Moore to notch 8.4 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
- D.J. Moore has been a big part of his team’s offense, earning a Target Share of 29.1% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
- D.J. Moore has totaled a monstrous 100.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among wideouts.
Cons
- The Carolina Panthers offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
- D.J. Moore has been among the most unreliable receivers in football, catching a mere 59.7% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 18th percentile among WRs
- The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best CB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
- The Carolina Panthers offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
- The Cleveland Browns defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.42 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-fastest in football since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
66
Receiving Yards
66
Receiving Yards
