Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Christian WatsonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Bears vs. Packers
Right now, Christian Watson’s receiving yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 50.5 (-115) after it opened @ 49.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects Christian Watson to garner 6.5 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 83rd percentile among WRs.
- Christian Watson has accumulated a whopping 66.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 78th percentile among wide receivers.
- The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
- The Chicago Bears pass defense has displayed poor efficiency vs. wideouts since the start of last season, allowing 9.94 yards-per-target to the position: the most in the league.
- The Chicago Bears pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.65 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-most in football.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.
- Christian Watson has been among the bottom wideouts in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 1st percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
61
Receiving Yards
61
Receiving Yards
