https://ftnfantasy.com
Bettings
article-picture
article-picture
NFL
Bets

Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Brevin Jordan from EV Insight

Share
Contents
Close
Brevin Jordan

Brevin JordanReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 1

Texans vs. Colts

Right now, Brevin Jordan’s receiving yards prop is set at 22.5 yards (-115/-105).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 22.5 (-115) after it opened @ 19.5 (-110).

Pros

  • The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The Texans are a big 7-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Indianapolis Colts safeties profile as the 8th-worst collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Cons

  • THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging just 59.1 plays per game.
  • The Houston Texans offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • The Houston Texans O-line has given their QB a mere 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Projection
THE BLITZ
30
Receiving Yards

Previous New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins – Week 1 Betting Preview Next Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Hayden Hurst from EV Insight