Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Albert Okwuegbunam from EV Insight

Albert OkwuegbunamReceiving Yards

Right now, Albert Okwuegbunam’s receiving yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet up the OVER up to 30.5 (-110) after it opened @ 26.5 (-115).

Pros

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.5% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Albert Okwuegbunam to accumulate 4.4 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among tight ends.
The Seattle Seahawks safeties rank as the 4th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The Denver Broncos O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.68 seconds before the pass (6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Cons

The Broncos are a 6.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run out of all the games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.5 plays per game.
The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in the league). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

Projection

THE BLITZ
33
Receiving Yards