Week 1 Player Props: Passing Yards for Mitchell Trubisky from EV Insight

Mitchell TrubiskyPassing Yards

Right now, Mitchell Trubisky’s passing yards prop is set at 226.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet up the OVER up to 226.5 (-110) after it opened @ 225.5 (-114).

Pros

The Steelers are a giant 7-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the NFL.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
Opposing offenses have passed for the 6th-most yards in football (254.0 per game) versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season.
The Cincinnati Bengals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.58 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 2nd-slowest in football since the start of last season.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 11th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Mitchell Trubisky has been among the worst quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season, averaging 7.0 yards per game while checking in at the 7th percentile.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties rank as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has given their QB a mere 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have incorporated play action on a lowly 18.5% of their passing plays since the start of last season (3rd-least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

Projection

THE BLITZ
246
Passing Yards