Week 1 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jordan Love from EV Insight

Jordan LovePassing Yards

Right now, Jordan Love’s passing yards prop is set at 209.5 yards (-109/-125).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 209.5 (-125) after it opened @ 210.5 (-117).

Pros

The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-highest clip in the league vs. the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season (73.1%).
The Chicago Bears pass defense has shown poor efficiency since the start of last season, conceding 8.58 yards-per-target: the most in the league.
The Chicago Bears cornerbacks grade out as the 2nd-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jordan Love to attempt 32.9 passes in this week’s game, on average: the 11th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing QBs have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
237
Passing Yards