Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Jordan LovePassing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Bears vs. Packers
Right now, Jordan Love’s passing yards prop is set at 209.5 yards (-109/-125).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 209.5 (-125) after it opened @ 210.5 (-117).
Pros
- The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
- Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-highest clip in the league vs. the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season (73.1%).
- The Chicago Bears pass defense has shown poor efficiency since the start of last season, conceding 8.58 yards-per-target: the most in the league.
- The Chicago Bears cornerbacks grade out as the 2nd-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Jordan Love to attempt 32.9 passes in this week’s game, on average: the 11th-least of all quarterbacks.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
237
Passing Yards
237
Passing Yards
