Week 1 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jared Goff from EV Insight

Jared GoffPassing Yards

Right now, Jared Goff’s passing yards prop is set at 232.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 232.5 (-110) after it opened @ 244.5 (-115).

Pros

The Lions are a 5.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Jared Goff has attempted 37.3 passes per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile among quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-highest clip in the NFL versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense since the start of last season (74.3%).
The Detroit Lions have gone for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the league), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 120.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks rank as the best CB corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Detroit Lions O-line has allowed their QB a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 7th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
260
Passing Yards