Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Deshaun WatsonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Browns vs. Bengals
Right now, Deshaun Watson’s passing yards prop is set at 238.5 yards (-121/-113).
The public has bet the OVER up to 238.5 (-121) after it opened @ 236.5 (-117).
Pros
- The Cleveland Browns have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
- The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to attempt 31.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.
- Opposing offenses have thrown for the 9th-least yards in football (just 206.0 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season.
- The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
250
Passing Yards
250
Passing Yards
