NFL

Bets

September 5, 2023

Week 1 Player Props: Passing Yards for Deshaun Watson from EV Insight

FTN Staff

Deshaun WatsonPassing Yards

Right now, Deshaun Watson’s passing yards prop is set at 238.5 yards (-121/-113).

The public has bet the OVER up to 238.5 (-121) after it opened @ 236.5 (-117).

Pros

The Cleveland Browns have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to attempt 31.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.
Opposing offenses have thrown for the 9th-least yards in football (just 206.0 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
250
Passing Yards