NBA Postseason Best Bets (5/14)
Alex Christenson
Daniel JonesPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Giants vs. Cowboys
Right now, Daniel Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 206.5 yards (-114/-114).
The public has bet the OVER up to 206.5 (-114) after it opened @ 204.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Giants are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Giants to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New York Giants have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 59.6 plays per game.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 34.9 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
- Daniel Jones has been among the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season with an impressive 67.7% Completion%, checking in at the 94th percentile.
Cons
- The Giants rank as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 56.2% pass rate.
- The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
- The Dallas Cowboys linebackers profile as the 6th-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
232
Passing Yards
232
Passing Yards
