MLB Best Bets – Free (Wednesday 7/24)
Josh Gross
I’m here to share my best NFL player props from PointsBet for Week 12 of the NFL season. Below you’ll see my top three NFL player props for Week 12 followed by a bonus play at plus money.
Each week we’ll look into the FTN projections for the biggest edges in the NFL player props market.
Be sure to check out our FTN Bets Pick Tracker for more.
The Best Week 12 PointsBet NFL Player Props
Jeff Wilson OVER 85.5 Rushing Yards -115
(-115)
This line is moving in a hurry with Raheem Mostert doubtful to play. I have it in the tracker at 80.5 and I’d take anything as high as 90.5. Jeff Wilson could top 100 yards on the ground against a Texans team that checks in 31st in RUSH DVOA defense, according to Football Outsiders. Houston has allowed a league-high 153.6 rushing yards and 28 fantasy points per game to running backs. No team has coughed up more rushing touchdowns (13) to the position, and only three teams have allowed more yards per carry than Houston. Five different backs hit the century mark on the ground against the Texans, including Derrick Henry’s 219 in Week 8. Wilson was already pulling away from Mostert in just two games with Miami. He has not only out-touched him by 10 (31-21), but he’s played 67 snaps on offense to Mostert’s 43. Wilson has an impressive 170 rushing yards on 26 carries (6.5). The Dolphins are fresh off a bye and are 14-point home favorites, so Wilson should get plenty of work.
Courtland Sutton Over 4.5 receptions
(-105)
The Broncos and Panthers game has a point total of 36, and I have a lean to the under. Both of these teams are awful on offense, and the Broncos have allowed the second-fewest points per game (14.7). I don’t expect a lot to happen in this matchup, but I’m intrigued with Courtland Sutton’s catch prop. He caught five of his seven targets for 80 yards with Jerry Jeudy sidelined last week, and Jeudy won’t play Sunday. Sutton has 18 targets and 11 grabs in his last two games. He’s the clear-cut No. 1 option in the passing game now. We have him projected for 8.7 targets, 5.1 catches and 63.6 receiving yards.
Donovan Peoples-Jones Over 40.5 Receiving Yards
(-125)
We’re going back to DPJ here despite the juice on his receiving yard prop. Donovan Peoples-Jones has racked up at least four grabs and 50 receiving yards in seven straight games for the Browns. He has a long catch of at least 27 yards in five straight games and 37 in four of those games. Even in a matchup against Carlton Davis, Peoples-Jones’ 77.5 receiving yards per game over his last five contests is hard to ignore.
Bonus: Donovan Peoples-Jones OVER 3.5 REC +130
