Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
We’re heading into Week 12 of the NFL season, and that means it’s time again to check in on our player props of the week.
BetRivers has a full betting board of player pros for each of the remaining games. We are going to dive into some of the best ones here ranging from yardage props to anytime touchdown scorers.
The Best Week 12 BetRivers NFL Player Props
Donovan Peoples-Jones Over 39.5 Receiving Yards
(-115)
If lines are going to continue to be this low for Donovan Peoples-Jones, I am going to keep riding with him. Over his last seven games, Peoples-Jones has averaged a bonkers 72.4 receiving yards per game. During that span, Peoples-Jones has a reception of at least 37 yards in five of his last seven games and is averaging 6.6 targets per contest (9.9 yards per target). Per FTN’s Adam Pfeifer, “Peoples-Jones ranks 12th in the league in receiving yards (386), 15th in aDOT (14.2 yards), seventh in yards per target (13.3) and 24th in fantasy points.” Peoples-Jones will square off against a Tampa Bay secondary allowing 142.4 yards to the wide receiver position and I like him to get a sizable chunk of those yards. Meanwhile, Cleveland has quietly thrown for 227 yards per game this season (14th in the NFL) on a team often associated with Nick Chubb and the run game. Based on his production to this point in the season, Peoples-Jones has the potential to hit this over with a single grab. Another week. Another smash.
Foster Moreau Over 35.5 Receiving Yards
(-117)
With Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow placed on IR prior to Week 11, it seemed logical that Foster Moreau should begin to see funneled targets. That didn’t happen. Moreau finished the day with only one reception for 33 yards on three targets. Enter the Seattle Seahawks. If there is a matchup in the NFL to serve as a “Tight End Get-Right Game,” it would be this one. The Seahawks are allowing 74 yards and 7.7 per game to the tight end position. Even with two teams toward the bottom of the NFL in pace, I like Moreau to see the targets he didn’t get in Week 11. 35.5 receiving yards is too low for one of the best remaining pass catchers on the team. I like Seattle in this game, which should require Las Vegas to throw even more than the past three games in which they have averaged 37 pass attempts per contest.
Matt Ryan Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
(+132)
This pick is more about a lack of confidence in the Pittsburgh Steelers secondary more than it is about Matt Ryan’s touchdown passing prowess. The Steelers allow the most touchdowns per game this season to opposing quarterbacks (2.2) and the most per game the last three weeks (3.0). The Colts (4-6-1) come into Monday night’s home tussle with Pittsburgh as 2.5-point favorites in a game that should generate points, given the teams’ defensive struggles this season. On completions of 20-plus yards, the Steelers have allowed the most touchdowns (7) and the ninth-most total yards on those receptions (554). A plus-money matchup against a receiving TD sieve? Yep. All day.
