Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
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Similar to what has been provided in past weeks, here are three plays I will anchor my SuperDraft DFS lineups around. While there are typically five plays, I will provide three plays per week and add an “others to consider” section full of the players who round out the vast majority of my player pool.
This gives you the ability to lock in the key three and fill in around it. Below are my top three options for Week 17’s Sunday main slate.
Ronald Jones, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@ NYJ)
Score multiplier: 1.3x
Ronald Jones stepped into the starting running back role in Week 16 and showed no signs of discomfort, as he logged 22 total touches on 23 opportunities out of the backfield. While his 3.25 yards per carry left a lot to be desired, he steps into a far more favorable matchup against the Jets in Week 17. No team has been run on more than the Jets this season (471 total attempts), while they’ve also allowed the most rushing touchdowns (27) and the second-most rushing yards overall (2,120).
With a near-every-down role, positive gamescript and an elite matchup, getting a 1.3x multiplier on Jones on Sunday feels like a layup.
Others to consider: Jonathan Taylor (1x), David Montgomery (1.15x), Cordarrelle Patterson (1.25x), Elijah Mitchell (1.25x), Chase Edmonds (1.35x), Darrell Williams (1.4x), Sony Michel (1.4x)
Jaylen Waddle, WR, Miami Dolphins (@ TEN)
Score multiplier: 1.4x
While the Miami offense has been one of the most inconsistent units in the league this season, Jaylen Waddle has been a steady source of production among the receivers. Over his last nine games, he’s logged at least 10 targets in six of those games while dropping below eight only once. If you focus even more recently, he’s topped at least nine catches, 10 targets and 90 yards in each of his last three games. With two scores over that span, he’s doing literally everything for this Miami offense.
Against a Titans’ secondary where he should match up with Elijah Molden, who’s allowed a 69% catch rate this season, Waddle should be in for another voluminous Sunday and a productive fantasy outing.
Others to consider: Cooper Kupp (1x), Ja’Marr Chase (1.15x), Hunter Renfrow (1.35x), Amon-Ra St. Brown (1.4), Tee Higgins (1.55x), Odell Beckham (1.55x)
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Dallas Goedert, TE, Philadelphia Eagles (@ WAS)
Score multiplier: 1.3x
After two consecutive weeks of topping 20 fantasy points, Goedert went into Week 16 with tons of momentum only to disappear. With a 2/28/0 line on only four targets, Goedert left players with a sour taste in their mouths. He did, however, have a touchdown taken away due to a penalty, which would have drastically changed his stock heading into Week 17.
Because of this, I’m willing to go right back to the well knowing that he continues to get high-quality targets regardless of who is at QB for the Eagles. The Football Team has been one of the most generous pass defenses in the NFL this season and because of that, this is the perfect chance to take advantage of a 1.3x multiplier on Goedert as a buy-low option in Week 17.
Others to consider: Travis Kelce (1x), Mark Andrews (1.1x), Rob Gronkowski (1.15x), Kyle Pitts (1.4x), Gerald Everett (1.55x)
