Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
SuperDraft is one of the hottest platforms in the market for DFS players. SuperDraft offers a unique twist on your traditional DFS experience with game modes like “Multiplier” and “Super 15.”
By eliminating the traditional salary cap structure and providing a points multiplier for every player on the slate, there is almost limitless flexibility when building lineups on SuperDraft. You can load up on all the studs, but their point multipliers will be low. You can balance those plays out with some long shots that could score up to 2x their fantasy points to vault you to the top of the leaderboards.
If you haven’t played at SuperDraft yet, new users can get an instant $100 match with promo code “FTN” by following these steps.
- Sign up at SuperDraft.
- Enter the promo code “FTN.”
- Provide your credentials to register.
- By using the “FTN” promo code when depositing, you will get a $100 match instantly of any deposit of $100 or more.
- Use this $200 worth of SuperDraft balance to fund your account and be playing in the lobbies.
This is the best promo code you can find, so be sure to use “FTN” and you will essentially double your deposit at SuperDraft. Then come back to FTNDaily and check out our daily SuperDraft content.
Similar to what has been provided in past weeks, here are three plays I will anchor my SuperDraft DFS lineups around. While there are typically five plays, I will provide three plays per week and add an “others to consider” section full of the players who round out the vast majority of my player pool.
This gives you the ability to lock in the key three and fill in around it. Below are my top three options for Week 12’s Sunday main slate.
Ty Johnson, RB, New York Jets (@ HOU)
Score multiplier: 1.8x
With Michael Carter sidelined for Week 12, I am looking to the rest of this Jets’ backfield for a bit of value on SuperDraft, with Ty Johnson being my priority. He’s not likely to assume a three-down role with a 20-plus-carry upside, but the combination of an uptick in rushing attempts and his role in the passing game make his multiplier too good to pass up.
Prior to the three-way snap split among the Jets’ backs in Week 11 (three backs saw 28% of the snap share each), Johnson had logged at least 30% of the snaps in all but one other game this season. Assuming almost strictly a passing-down role, Johnson has seen at least six targets in three of his last five games, while logging at least 36 yards or a touchdown in four of his last five. With Carter voiding over 50% of the snap share and the lion’s share of the rushing attempts, it’s hard to envision Johnson not stepping into at least some of them. For 1.8x against a paper-thin Texans defense, Johnson makes a ton of sense as a priority value option at the running back position.
Others to consider: Jonathan Taylor (1x) – great form but brutal matchup, Najee Harris (1.15x), Joe Mixon (1.2x), Elijah Mitchell (1.4x), Myles Gaskin (1.5x), Tevin Coleman (1.65x), Dontrell Hilliard (2x)
Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@ IND)
Score multiplier: 1.35x
I noted my infatuation with Evans this week in my Thu-Mon slate breakdown, but it bears repeating:
“There aren’t many teams that struggle to defend deep passes more than the Colts. There also aren’t many receivers that thrive downfield than Mike Evans.
On the season, the Colts have allowed the fifth-highest completion percentage on deep targets (48.70%), the 10th most yards on deep targets (581), and rank in the bottom half of the NFL in yards after deep catches (12th-most). On the flip side, Evans’ 13.74-yard aDOT leads the Buccaneers, as do his 10 receiving touchdowns and 1,058 air yards. The latter mark is over 400 yards more than the next closest receiver on the team, Chris Godwin.”
In large-field tournaments, you want big-play upside. Evans has exactly that and faces a defense that allows the same. Fire him up with confidence.
Others to consider: Cooper Kupp (1x), Deebo Samuel (1.25x), Ja’Marr Chase (1.25x), Brandin Cooks (1.45x), Elijah Moore (1.5x), Marvin Jones Jr. (1.55x)
(Sign up at SuperDraft with promo code FTN for an INSTANT $100 deposit match.)
Evan Engram, TE, New York Giants (vs. PHI)
Score multiplier: 1.55x
Evan Engram is never fun to roster, I know that. But with Sterling Shepard already ruled out and Kadarius Toney deemed doubtful, Engram should walk into an uptick in targets, which has been the sole reason for his lack of production this season.
His playing time has not been an issue, having seen 90% of the snaps in Week 11 and at least 70% of the snaps all but once since Week 5. Taking on an Eagles defense that has surrendered more fantasy points to the tight end position than any other NFL team (16.1 per game), it’s going to be hard for Engram to fail here.
Others to consider: Dallas Goedert (1.15x), Kyle Pitts (1.15x), Mike Gesicki (1.25x), Dan Arnold (1.65x)
