Prime-Time Props — Wild Card Saturday Night Game

The first playoff edition of the prime-time parlay features a third meeting between two divisional rivals, with the Steelers taking on the Ravens in Baltimore.

Let’s check out my same-game parlay for the game.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens

Pat Freiermuth 3+ Receptions & 20+ Receiving Yards

• At least 3 receptions and 22 receiving yards in 11 out of 17 (64.7%) games, averaging 3.8 grabs on 4.6 targets for 38.5 yards.
• Team-high 79% route participation rate, trailing only George Pickens with a 14.2% target share.
• Season-high in targets, receptions and receiving yards in the last game of the regular season, catching eight passes on 11 targets for 85 yards and a touchdown, leading the team with a 31.4% target share in Week 18.
• The Ravens are 21st in DVOA against tight ends (3.3%), allowing the 10th-most targets (7.5), receptions (5.5), and receiving yards (56.6) per game to the position.
• Per the DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points Against Tool, tight ends see a 10% boost in production against Baltimore, the 11th-highest rate in the league.

George Pickens 30+ Receiving Yards

• At least 48 receiving yards in 11 out of 14 (78.6%) games, averaging 4.2 grabs on 7.4 targets for 64 yards.
• Team-high 87.6% route participation rate, 22.3% target share and 42.4% air yard share when active.
• Eight receptions on 12 targets for 89 yards in the only game against Baltimore in Week 11, running a route on 100% of Russell Wilson’s dropbacks, and leading the team with a 30.0% target share and 58.9% air yard share.
• The Ravens are 29th in DVOA against WR1s (21.0%), allowing the third-most targets (8.8) and a league-high in receiving yards (97.6) per game to the position.
• Per the DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points Against Tool, WR1s see a 36% boost in production against Baltimore, the highest rate in the league.

Mark Andrews 20+ Receiving Yards

• At least 22 receiving yards in 14 out of 17 (82.4%) games, averaging 3.2 grabs on 4.1 targets for 39.6 yards.
• At least 22 receiving yards in both games against Pittsburgh.
• Season-high eight targets in the last game of the regular season, catching four passes for 56 yards and leading the team with a 25.0% target share and 44.1% air yard share in Week 18.
• Zay Flowers is out, vacating a team-high 23.2% target share and 29.0% air yard share.
• The Steelers are 20th in DVOA against tight ends (1.5%), allowing a league-high in targets (8.6), the second-most receptions (6.2), and the 11th-most receiving yards (56.4) per game to the position.
• Per the DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points Against Tool, tight ends see 16% boost in production against Pittsburgh, tied for sixth-highest rate in the league.

Full Same-Game Parlay

(-120, Bet365)