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Mojo Liquid Props: Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

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Finally, you can turn your sports knowledge into real cash by investing in an athlete’s entire career. Prices rise and fall with every hit, huddle, and headline — and you can buy and sell instantly or hold for as long as you want. Three times a week, FTN will feature a player and his Mojo value — is it time to buy, sell, hold or short? Click here and use promo code FTN250 to get in on the Mojo action.

To date, most of my Mojo has been focused on players’ overall stock prices. But there’s another approach you can take, newly unveiled on the site and the app: Liquid Props. Instead of betting on a player’s overall value over the long term, maybe just key in on a stat and get the result more quickly. Right now, that means total playoff touchdown passes.

 

There are two Liquid Props available on the Mojo app: Total postseason passing touchdowns for Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts. Liquid Props are a different way to play on Mojo, where you’re simply deciding whether a player comes in over or under his “stock price,” where the stock price is equivalent to his stat total. If, for example, Joe Burrow‘s Liquid Props “stock price” for the AFC Championship Game was $1.50, then his 1-TD effort would have been a loss, and if he had gotten to two touchdowns it would have paid off (and the payoff rises the more a player exceeds his stock price). 

Now, with only the Super Bowl left to play, the Liquid Props are for total postseason passing touchdowns for our two remaining quarterbacks. Mahomes’ prop sits at $6.30, while Hurts is at $3.55. Since Mahomes has already thrown 4 touchdowns this postseason and Hurts has thrown 2, that means that a Mahomes investment is a bet on him throwing 3 or more touchdowns in the Super Bowl, and a Hurts investment is betting on 2-plus.

The bet we’re targeting? Mahomes.

Mojo Spotlight: Patrick Mahomes

The Eagles have scored 9 touchdowns through two postseason games, but crucially, seven of those nine touchdowns have come on the ground. Hurts threw two touchdown passes in the first quarter of the team’s Divisional Round game, but every score since has come on the ground (two each for Hurts, Boston Scott and Miles Sanders, one for Kenneth Gainwell).

The Chiefs, meanwhile, have scored only 5 touchdowns through their two postseason games, but all five have come through the air. Mahomes threw two touchdown passes in the Divisional Round and two more in the AFC Championship Game, with Chad Henne throwing one during his long drive in the Divisional Round. 

Saying those two paragraphs shorter: In the Super Bowl, the passing game might not have a big role in the Eagles’ scoring. But it could easily be all of the Chiefs’ scoring.

Mahomes’ Postseason

As mentioned above, Mahomes has thrown 2 touchdowns in each postseason game so far. You might also remember that Mahomes has been  significantly less than 100% during that time, spraining his ankle early in the Divisional Round and not being near his normal self in the Conference Championships. Is he going to be 100% for the Super Bowl? Who knows. But he should almost certainly be in better shape than he has been the last couple weeks. He threw 2 touchdowns in each game when he was hurt; get him healthy, even against a good secondary like the one offered by the Eagles, it stands to reason that number would only grow.

<img src="https://d2y4ihze0bzr5g.cloudfront.net/source/2020/Patrick_Mahomes%281%29.jpg" alt="

Summary

Mahomes has played 19 games this season. He’s passed for multiple touchdowns in 14 of them, 3-plus in eight. With the season on the line the last two weeks, he’s thrown 2 touchdowns in each game despite suffering an injury that typically costs players a month or more. With a shot at further cementing his place in history and two weeks to get his ankle squared away, expect Mahomes to take things into his own hands. Three touchdowns and you win. More than that and you win even more.

Previous 2023 Fantasy Baseball Preview: The Prospect Vault (Prospects 41-60) Next Is the Juice Worth the Squeeze? Second Basemen in Rounds 11-12
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