Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
NBA Prop Betting has been one of my most successful and favorite things to do in the betting world over the last couple years. Over that timeframe, I have created, developed and continuously improved an NBA betting model that projects out each player’s stat line thanks to advanced data and several thousand simulated games.
I compare these projections across the different Sportsbooks to determine the best bets of the day.
Let’s get to it.
Jordan Clarkson o3.5 rebounds
(-110, FanDuel)
Jordan Clarkson had four straight games with 4+ rebounds but was held under that number due to a blowout in his last game. Clarkson should continue to see extended time tonight, and my model has him for nearly five rebounds.
Alperen Sengun o7.5 rebounds
(-125, DraftKings)
Alperen Sengun averages nearly 9 RPG and now gets a matchup against a fast-paced Warriors team. His minutes can fluctuate at times, but he is an efficient producer. My model has him for just under 10 rebounds.
Stephen Curry o28.5 points
(-120, BetMGM)
My model loves Stephen Curry tonight. He has an elite matchup against the Rockets, who allow a ton of points to opposing guards and play fast. My model has Curry for north of 37 points tonight… a massive edge on the line.
