NBA Prop Betting has been one of my most successful and favorite things to do in the betting world over the last couple years. Over that timeframe, I have created, developed and continuously improved an NBA betting model that projects out each player’s stat line thanks to advanced data and several thousand simulated games.
I compare these projections across the different Sportsbooks to determine the best bets of the day.
Let’s get to it.
Jordan Clarkson o3.5 rebounds
(-110, FanDuel)
Jordan Clarkson had four straight games with 4+ rebounds but was held under that number due to a blowout in his last game. Clarkson should continue to see extended time tonight, and my model has him for nearly five rebounds.
Alperen Sengun o7.5 rebounds
(-125, DraftKings)
Alperen Sengun averages nearly 9 RPG and now gets a matchup against a fast-paced Warriors team. His minutes can fluctuate at times, but he is an efficient producer. My model has him for just under 10 rebounds.
Stephen Curry o28.5 points
(-120, BetMGM)
My model loves Stephen Curry tonight. He has an elite matchup against the Rockets, who allow a ton of points to opposing guards and play fast. My model has Curry for north of 37 points tonight… a massive edge on the line.