Best NBA Bets Today – Wednesday, March 5, 2025

Here are the best NBA bets today for Wednesday, March 5, 2025. FTN is home to the tools, research, models, data, and experts you need to become a smarter sports bettor.

Here are FTN’s best NBA bets for today. To see more picks from our team, check out our bet tracker.

NBA Best Bets Today (March 5, 2025)

Evan Mobley 15+ Points & 7+ Rebounds

-140, Bet365

Bet by Sam Choudhury

15+ Points

• At least 15 points in 40 out of 54 (74.1%) games, including each of the last six, averaging 18.6 points on 12.6 shots.
• At least 15 points in 22 out of 29 (75.9%) games at home, including each of the last four.
• At least 15 points in 21 out of 27 (77.8%) games with Max Strus, including each of the last six.
• At least 15 points in 39 out of 50 (78.0%) games playing more than 18 minutes, including each of the last six, averaging 19.3 points on 12.9 shots.
• At least 15 points in 21 out of 26 (80.8%) games playing more than 18 minutes with Strus, including each of the last six.
• At least 16 points in eight out of nine (88.9%) games with De’Andre Hunter, including each of the last six, averaging 19.3 points on 13.3 shots.
• At least 20 points in all four games with Hunter at home, averaging 23.5 points on 16.0 shots.
• At least 15 points in each of the last two games playing more than 12 minutes against Miami, averaging 18.5 points on 10.1 shots.

7+ Rebounds

• At least 7 rebounds in 43 out of 54 (79.6%) of games, including each of the last 10, averaging 9.3 rebounds on 15.5 chances.
• At least 7 rebounds in 22 out of 27 (81.4%) games with Strus, including each of the last nine, averaging 9.4 rebounds on 15.5 chances.
• At least 7 rebounds in 42 out of 50 (84%) games playing more than 18 minutes, including each of the last 10, averaging 9.7 rebounds on 16.1 chances.
• At least 7 rebounds in 23 out of 26 (84.6%) games playing more than 18 minutes with Strus, including each of the last nine.
• At least 7 rebounds in 12 out of 14 (85.7%) games playing more than 18 minutes with Strus at home.
• At least 8 rebounds in all nine games with De’Andre Hunter, averaging 10.8 rebounds on 16.6 chances.
• At least 7 rebounds in four out of the last five (80%) games playing 22-plus minutes against Miami, recording six rebounds in the only miss (March 8, 2023), averaging 9.0 rebounds on 12.4 chances.
• The Heat allow the seventh-most rebounds to opposing centers.

Deni Avdija Over 3.5 Assists

-140, Hard Rock

Bet by Sam Choudhury

• At least 4 assists in 30 out of 58 (51.7%) games.
• At least 4 assists in 29 out of 54 (53.7%) games with Anfernee Simons.
• At least 4 assists in 25 out of 46 (54.3%) games with Donovan Clingan.
• At least 4 assists in 24 out of 43 (55.8%) games with Clingan, and Simons.
• At least 4 assists in 13 out of 20 (65.0%) games without Deandre Ayton (OUT).
• At least 4 assists in 19 out of 28 (67.9%) games playing more than 28 minutes, including each of the last six, averaging 4.5 assists on 8.9 potential assists.
• At least 4 assists in 12 out of 17 (70.6%) games with Simons and without Ayton, averaging 4.3 assists on 7.7 potential assists
• At least 4 assists in 10 out of 14 (71.4%) games without Jerami Grant (Q), averaging 4.6 assists on 8.3 potential assists.
• At least 4 assists in eight out of nine (88.9%) games playing more than 28 minutes without Ayton and with Simons, including each of the last eight, averaging 5.4 assists on 9.4 potential assists.
• At least 4 assists in all three games playing more than 28 minutes with Simons and without Ayton and Grant, averaging 6.3 assists on 7.3 potential assists.
• At least 4 assists in two out of three (66.7%) career games playing 28-plus minutes against Boston.

Ausar Thompson Over 2.5 Assists

-155, Bet365

Bet by Sam Choudhury

• At least 3 assists in 16 out of 29 (55.2%) games without Jaden Ivey (out).
• At least 3 assists in 13 out of 23 (56.5%) games playing more than 20 minutes.
• At least 3 assists in 13 out of 21 (61.9%) games playing more than 20 minutes without Ivey, averaging 3.0 assists on 5.2 potential assists.
• At least 3 assists in two out of three (66.7%) games without Tobias Harris (out), averaging 3.3 assists on 5.3 potential assists.
• At least 3 assists in five out of six (83.3%) games with Lindy Waters III, recording two assists on four potential assists in the only miss (Feb. 23), averaging 3.8 assists on 6.2 potential assists.
• At least 3 assists in eight out of nine (88.9%) games with Dennis Schröder, recording two assists on four potential assists in the only miss (Feb. 23), averaging 4.1 assists on 5.9 assists.
• At least 4 assists in all three games with Waters on the road, averaging 4.3 assists on 5.7 potential assists.
• At least 3 assists in all eight games playing 20-plus minutes with Schröder, averaging 4.4 assists on 6.1 potential assists and 5.0 assists on 6.3 potential assists on the road.
• At least 4 assists in both games without Harris on the road, averaging 4.5 assists on 8.0 potential assists.
• Five assists on eight potential assists in the only game without Harris and with either one of Schroder and/or Waters the last time out (Wednesday).
• At least 3 assists in each of the last two games against the Clippers, including the lone career game without Ivey or with either one of Schröder, Waters, Malik Beasley and/or Tim Hardaway Jr. last week (Feb. 24), averaging 4.0 assists on 5.0 potential assists.

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