The One Hitter: MLB game-by-game betting breakdown (9/23)

Each day, we are going to try and give you a quick preview of today’s main slate and any interesting betting angles that we spot. Take a look.

All betting lines and information are from the FanDuel Sportsbook. All stats are from the last 30 days via FanGraphs unless otherwise noted.

Rangers (-120), Orioles (+102)
Total: 9.0 runs
Glenn Otto (R) vs. Zac Lowther (L)

The Orioles have been striking out a lot (25.5%) but boast a solid .323 wOBA.
The Rangers offense is not very dynamic — their .134 ISO and .303 wOBA is among the league’s worst.
Texas boasts a league-worst 6.5% walk rate over this time frame.

Best bets: In hitter friendly Camden, despite these two struggling offenses, I love the OVER.

Pirates (+235), Phillies (-290)
Total: 8.0 runs
Connor Overton (R) vs. Aaron Nola (R)

The Pirates have a solid 10.4% walk rate, but their .309 wOBA is gross.
The Phillies have been far better at the plate, recording a .328 wOBA and .182 ISO.
Don’t plan on a lot of strikeouts here — both have logged under a 21% rate over the l30 days.

Best bets: Not a heavy lean either way, but I think a Phillies ML or a F3/F5 bet makes for a great play.

Jays (-134), Twins (+114)
Total: 9.0 runs
Steven Matz (L) vs. Michael Pineda (R)

The Twins need to snap awake at the plate — their .306 wOBA and 24.2% strikeout rate is ugly.
The Jays are still crushing the baseball, logging a .360 wOBA in the same time frame.
Will the good or bad Steven Matz show up?

Best bets: It feels like the Jays should have some more juice — a F3/F5 bet makes too much sense.

Astros (-168), Angels (+142)
Total: 8.5 runs
Lance McCullers Jr. (R) vs. Alex Cobb (R)

The Angels have been horrendous at the plate, logging a .144 ISO and .290 wOBA.
Houston is stroking the ball at the plate, logging a .351 wOBA and 18.1% strikeout rate in the last 30 days.
Lance McCullers Jr. has been awesome lately, but has had some command and control issues — can he keep those in check?

Best bets: With a bad Angels offense and a very strong arm for the ‘Stros, plan on them in a F3/F5 bet.