The One Hitter: MLB game-by-game betting breakdown (9/2)

Each day, we are going to try and give you a quick preview of today’s main slate and any interesting betting angles that we spot. Take a look.

All betting lines and information are from the FanDuel Sportsbook. All stats are from the last 30 days via FanGraphs unless otherwise noted.

Red Sox (+144), Rays (-172)
Total: 7.5 runs
Eduardo Rodríguez (L) vs. Shane McClanahan (L)

The Rays have been spicy but whiff a whole lot – to the tune of a 25.6% mark.
Boston has been surging recently – their .343 wOBA and .197 ISO is at the top of the league.
The Rays have been very bad against lefties this year – can they improve here?

Best bets: The Sox gotta take this one – I like the road underdog here.

Marlins (+194), Mets (-235)
Total: 7.5 runs
Zack Thompson (R) vs. Carlos Carrasco (R)

These are two bad offensive teams — can they pick it up?
The Marlins have struggled at the dish all year. They rank at the bottom of the league in terms of wOBA (.296), ISO (.140) and 26.0% strikeout rate.
The Mets are just as bad, logging a .303 wOBA and .146 ISO.

Best bets: There’s not a ton of value on either side here, but the UNDER seems pretty likely.

Pirates (+118), Cubs (-138)
Total: 8.0 runs
Mitch Keller (R) vs. Keegan Thompson (R)

The Cubs have a weird profile in the last month — they rank 20th in team wOBA with a whopping 30.8% whiff rate.
The Pirates are similarly bad, logging a league-worst .291 wOBA and .126 ISO.
Another bullpen day for the Cubs – can they do it again?

Best bets: Boring bet, but the UNDER. These two teams are so bad.

Guardians (-112), Royals (-104)
Total: 8.5 runs
Triston McKenzie (R) vs. Mike Minor (L)

The Guardians have been going beast mode at the dish — they clock in sixth in wOBA with a .336 mark.
The Guardians got by with great pitching Wednesday – can they do it again?
KC needs to pick it up — over the last month, they are sixth worst in the league in wOBA (.296).

Best bets: I love the road Guardians here — McKenzie has been outstanding lately and the offense has been fire.

Braves (-162), Rockies (+136)
Total: 12.5 runs
Touki Toussaint (R) vs. Chi Chi González (R)

The Rockies have been outstanding in the last month, ranking top-five in nearly every statistical category.
The Braves are neck and neck with the Dodgers, logging a .187 ISO and .324 wOBA over the same time frame.
Chi Chi González is arguably the worst pitcher in baseball – he’s logged a 5.30 FIP with an egregious 13.8% whiff rate.

Best bets: The OVER. I think this is an offensive bloodbath.