Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Welcome to the PrizePicks Play of the Day. If you are new to PrizePicks, it is a simple game where you choose the over or under on multiple picks (between 2 and 5). Different payouts are available depending on the style of the play and how many picks you to do in each play. You can do a “power play,” where each pick needs to be correct in order for the play to win, or you can do a “flex play,” giving yourself some flexibility and still having the opportunity to make money if one of the picks in your play miss.
If you are a new user, get off to a great start by using code ‘FTN’ to get a 100% match up to $100. For example, if you deposit $50, PrizePicks will give you a free $50. Can’t beat that. Now, let’s get to the picks for Thursday.
MLB PrizePicks Plays Thursday 7/7
Dylan Cease Over 8.5 K’s
Dylan Cease has been striking out hitters with ease, sitting at a 34% K% on the year. He now gets a strong matchup against the Tigers who have 6 of 9 hitters in the projected Detroit lineup with a K% of 24% or more this season vs. RHPs. He is also trending up, with at least 11 K’s in two of his last three starts.
Gerrit Cole Over 7 K’s
Gerrit Cole is also trending in a solid direction, with at least 7 K’s in six of his last eight starts and eight of his last 11. Considering that along with his 32% K% on the year, you could argue this line should be sitting at 7.5 or even 8, so even in a matchup that isn’t overly friendly toward strikeouts, I like this number. Despite this Red Sox season-long strikeout numbers being fairly low, there are still five hitters in the projected Boston lineup with a K% of 21% or higher over the last month, and just two hitters with an ISO above .150.
Logan Webb Over 5 K’s
Logan Webb has a 24% K% over his last five starts, and over the last month this projected Padres lineup has 5 hitters striking out 20% of the time or more against RHPs. I would love to see a Padres lineup with more 4 or more RHHs in it, but even if we do not get that, this team is lacking power with just three hitters sitting at an ISO of .150 or better this season.
The Official Card
Dylan Cease o8.5 K’s
Gerrit Cole o7 K’s
Logan Webb o5 K’s
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Find More MLB Player Props on PrizePicks
Player props have become one of the hottest markets in baseball, and PrizePicks offers the perfect balance for daily fantasy players to get in on the MLB player prop action for real money.
Users can select up to five props to combine into a parlay and users can select whether they want the selection to be a “power play” or a “flex play.”
A “power play” means all selections in the PrizePicks pick need to hit and there is a multiplier for the number of events involved. Here’s the “power play” breakdown:
- Pick 2, and if you get them both right, you win 3x your entry fee
- Pick 3, and if you get them all right win 5x your entry fee
- Pick 4, and if you get them all right win 10x your entry fee
Here’s the “flex play” breakdown:
- Pick 5 players: Go 5-of-5 to win 10x, go 4-of-5 to win 2x, or go 3-of-5 to win 0.4x
- Pick 4 players: Go 4-of-4 to win 5x, go 3-of-4 to win 1.5x
- Pick 3 players: Go 3-of-3 to win 2.25x, go 2-of-3 to win 1.25x
- Pick 2 players: Go 2-of-2 to win 2x, go 1-of-2 to win 0.5x
In MLB, PrizePicks offers props like NRFI/YRFI, fantasy score, hits/RBIs, strikeouts, pitching outs, and more. This wide variety of different prop markets makes PrizePicks exciting and also exploitable.
Keep in mind that PrizePicks is not like a traditional sportsbook that has different pricing for each prop. On PrizePicks, the line you see is the line you get, and you must parlay at least two picks to lock in your fantasy plays.
