Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Baseball fans are in for an October (and maybe even November) treat, as two of the most storied franchises in sports face off for the crown. The New York Yankees and Los Angeles Dodgers are set to battle in the World Series for the 12th time in MLB history. Both rosters are filled with stars, and there should be plenty of offense, as both lineups feature a few of the most feared sluggers in the sport.
It’s only right that the two best teams in their respective leagues square off for the most prized “piece of metal” in baseball.
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Postseason Numbers
Hitting
- Yankees: 4.77 Runs per Game – 117 wRC+ – 13 HR – 10.3% Barrel% – 21.9% K%
- Dodgers: 6.36 Runs per Game – 122 wRC+– 20 HR – 11.1% Barrel% – 20.4% K%
Pitching
- Yankees: 3.27 ERA – 23.1% K% – 13.7% K-BB% – 3.89 SIERA
- Dodgers: 4.36 ERA – 19% K% – 9.3% K-BB% – 4.41 SIERA
Schedule
- Game 1: Friday, October 25, 8:08 p.m. ET
- Game 2: Saturday, October 26, 8:08 p.m. ET
- Game 3: Monday, October 28, 8:08 p.m. ET
- Game 4: Tuesday, October 29, 8:08 p.m. ET
- Game 5 (if necessary): Wednesday, October 30, 8:08 p.m. ET
- Game 6 (if necessary): Friday, November 1, 8:08 p.m. ET
- Game 7 (if necessary): Saturday, November 2, 8:08 p.m. ET
Probable Starters
- Game 1: Gerrit Cole vs. Jack Flaherty
- Game 2: Carlos Rodón vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto
- Game 3: Walker Buehler vs. Clarke Schmidt
- Game 4: Daniel Hudson (Bullpen) vs. Luis Gil
- Game 5: Jack Flaherty vs. Gerrit Cole
- Game 6: Carlos Rodón vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto
- Game 7: Clarke Schmidt vs. Walker Buehler
Series Prices
(Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Winner: Yankees +104 vs. Dodgers -122
- Spread: Yankees +1.5 -190 — Dodgers -1.5 +154
- Total Games: 5.5 (-180/+145) – 6.5 (+200/-260)
Yankees vs. Dodgers Game-By-Game Overview
| Game 1 | Runs | xWin% | xLine |
| Gerrit Cole (Yankees) | 4.16 | 50.1% | -100 |
| Jack Flaherty (Dodgers) | 4.15 | 49.9% | +100 |
| Game 2 | Runs | xWin% | xLine |
| Carlos Rodón (Yankees) | 3.69 | 43.4% | +130 |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto (Dodgers) | 4.21 | 56.6% | -130 |
| Game 3 | Runs | xWin% | xLine |
| Walker Buehler (Dodgers) | 3.93 | 43.9% | +128 |
| Clarke Schmidt (Yankees) | 4.44 | 56.1% | -128 |
| Game 4 | Runs | xWin% | xLine |
| Daniel Hudson (Dodgers) | 4.04 | 49.4% | +102 |
| Luis Gil (Yankees) | 4.09 | 50.6% | -102 |
| Game 5 | Runs | xWin% | xLine |
| Jack Flaherty (Dodgers) | 3.93 | 44.2% | +126 |
| Gerrit Cole (Yankees) | 4.42 | 55.8% | -126 |
| Game 6 | Runs | xWin% | xLine |
| Carlos Rodón (Yankees) | 3.84 | 44.7% | +124 |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto (Dodgers) | 4.27 | 55.3% | -124 |
| Game 7 | Runs | xWin% | xLine |
| Clarke Schmidt (Yankees) | 4.15 | 49.6% | +101 |
| Walker Buehler (Dodgers) | 4.18 | 50.4% | -101 |
Yankees vs. Dodgers Series Overview
| Series Outcomes | xWin% | xLine |
| NYY in 4 | 6.4% | +1463 |
| LAD in 4 | 6.0% | +1567 |
| NYY in 5 | 14.0% | +614 |
| LAD in 5 | 11.0% | +809 |
| NYY in 6 | 14.3% | +599 |
| LAD in 6 | 17.1% | +485 |
| NYY in 7 | 15.3% | +554 |
| LAD in 7 | 15.9% | +529 |
| NYY | 50.0% | -100 |
| LAD | 50.0% | -100 |
Projected starters are not yet official and usage may be adjusted. Check out the FTN MLB Model for updated projections.
