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MLB Postseason Preview: FTN Model World Series Projections and Odds

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Baseball fans are in for an October (and maybe even November) treat, as two of the most storied franchises in sports face off for the crown. The New York Yankees and Los Angeles Dodgers are set to battle in the World Series for the 12th time in MLB history. Both rosters are filled with stars, and there should be plenty of offense, as both lineups feature a few of the most feared sluggers in the sport.

It’s only right that the two best teams in their respective leagues square off for the most prized “piece of metal” in baseball.

New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Postseason Numbers

Hitting 

  • Yankees: 4.77 Runs per Game – 117 wRC+ – 13 HR – 10.3% Barrel% – 21.9% K%
  • Dodgers: 6.36 Runs per Game – 122 wRC+– 20 HR – 11.1% Barrel% – 20.4% K% 

Pitching 

  • Yankees: 3.27 ERA – 23.1% K% – 13.7% K-BB% – 3.89 SIERA 
  • Dodgers: 4.36 ERA – 19% K% – 9.3% K-BB% – 4.41 SIERA 

Schedule 

  • Game 1: Friday, October 25, 8:08 p.m. ET 
  • Game 2: Saturday, October 26, 8:08 p.m. ET 
  • Game 3: Monday, October 28, 8:08 p.m. ET
  • Game 4: Tuesday, October 29, 8:08 p.m. ET 
  • Game 5 (if necessary): Wednesday, October 30, 8:08 p.m. ET 
  • Game 6 (if necessary): Friday, November 1, 8:08 p.m. ET 
  • Game 7 (if necessary): Saturday, November 2, 8:08 p.m. ET

Probable Starters

Series Prices

(Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook)

  • Winner: Yankees +104 vs. Dodgers -122
  • Spread: Yankees +1.5 -190 — Dodgers -1.5 +154
  • Total Games: 5.5 (-180/+145) – 6.5 (+200/-260)

Yankees vs. Dodgers Game-By-Game Overview 

Game 1 Runs xWin% xLine
Gerrit Cole (Yankees) 4.16 50.1% -100
Jack Flaherty (Dodgers) 4.15 49.9% +100
Game 2 Runs xWin% xLine
Carlos Rodón (Yankees) 3.69 43.4% +130
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (Dodgers) 4.21 56.6% -130
Game 3 Runs xWin% xLine
Walker Buehler (Dodgers) 3.93 43.9% +128
Clarke Schmidt (Yankees) 4.44 56.1% -128
Game 4 Runs xWin% xLine
Daniel Hudson (Dodgers) 4.04 49.4% +102
Luis Gil (Yankees) 4.09 50.6% -102
Game 5 Runs xWin% xLine
Jack Flaherty (Dodgers) 3.93 44.2% +126
Gerrit Cole (Yankees) 4.42 55.8% -126
Game 6 Runs xWin% xLine
Carlos Rodón (Yankees) 3.84 44.7% +124
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (Dodgers) 4.27 55.3% -124
Game 7 Runs xWin% xLine
Clarke Schmidt (Yankees) 4.15 49.6% +101
Walker Buehler (Dodgers) 4.18 50.4% -101

Yankees vs. Dodgers Series Overview 

Series Outcomes xWin% xLine
NYY in 4 6.4% +1463
LAD in 4 6.0% +1567
NYY in 5 14.0% +614
LAD in 5 11.0% +809
NYY in 6 14.3% +599
LAD in 6 17.1% +485
NYY in 7 15.3% +554
LAD in 7 15.9% +529
NYY 50.0% -100
LAD 50.0% -100

Projected starters are not yet official and usage may be adjusted. Check out the FTN MLB Model for updated projections.

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