Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Welcome to the FTN’s free MLB Picks of the Day, featuring our favorite or best MLB bets today. FTN will be posting a play or two from the MLB card — for free!
Today, MLBdream provides his picks.
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Best MLB Bets and Picks Today
Los Angeles Angels @ Tampa Bay Rays
Drew Rasmussen Over 5.5 K’s -130 (DraftKings Sportsbook)
Angels +176 @ Rays -210 Total 6.5 (DraftKings Sportsbook)
We took a day off from picking on Chris Meaney’s Angels Wednesday, but we’re back at it here. I found an edge on the over on Rasmussen’s strikeout prop at 5.5 -130. With two hours until first pitch, we don’t have time for a long writeup but here are a few stats.
In four starts this August, Rasmussen has posted a season-high 24.7% strikeout percentage. He features his fastball about 38% of the time and it’s his second-best strikeout pitch. The Angels lead MLB in punchouts against four-seamers by a wide margin (51 more K’s than the Rays, who have the second most).
The Angels 28.2% K% vs right-handed pitchers since July 1 is the highest in baseball. With Mike Trout out, the Angels only have two batters with a strikeout percentage below 20%. While five players in this group have a K% greater than 24%. The Angels lineup looks more like a Spring Training or minor league group than anything.
I’m projecting Rasmussen to pitch into the sixth inning Thursday and strike out at least six Angels. As always, be sure to check out FTN’s Prop Shop to grab the best number on the market.
Bet: Drew Rasmussen Over 5.5 K’s -130 (DraftKings)
