Best NBA Bets Today – Saturday, March 1, 2025

Here are the best NBA bets today for Saturday, March 1, 2025. FTN is home to the tools, research, models, data, and experts you need to become a smarter sports bettor.

Here are FTN’s best NBA bets for today. To see more picks from our team, check out our bet tracker.

NBA Best Bets Today (March 1, 2025)

Ausar Thompson Over 2.5 Assists 

-120, Bet365

• At least 3 assists in 14 out of 27 (51.9%) games without Jaden Ivey (OUT).
• At least 3 assists in 14 out of 26 (53.8%) games without Ivey and with Tobias Harris.
• At least 3 assists in 11 out of 18 (61.1%) games playing more than 20 minutes without Ivey and with Harris.
• At least 3 assists in 11 out of 16 (68.8%) games without Ivey and with Harris at home.
• At least 4 assists in three out of four (75%) games with Lindy Waters III, averaging 4.0 assists per game.
• At least 3 assists in 10 out of 13 (76.9%) games playing 20-plus minutes without Ivey and with Harris at home, averaging 3.2 assists per game.
• At least 3 assists in six out of seven (85.7%) games with Dennis Schroder, averaging 4.1 assists per game.
• At least 3 assists in all four games with Schroder at home.
• At least 3 assists in all six games playing 18-plus minutes with Schroder, averaging 4.5 assists per game.
• Three assists on three potential assists in the only career game playing 10-plus minutes against Brooklyn with Jalen Duren (March 7, 2024).
• The Nets allow the second-most assists to opposing small forwards.

DeMar DeRozan Over 7.5 Rebounds + Assists 

-110, Hard Rock

• At least 9 assists and rebounds in 10 out of 13 (76.9%) games without De’Aaron Fox (traded), including each of the last eight, averaging 5.0 assists on 7.8 potential assists and 4.3 rebounds on 7.0 chances.
• At least 9 assists and rebounds in seven out of eight (87.5%) games without Fox on the road, including each of the last eight, averaging 5.8 assists and 4.3 rebounds per game.
• At least 9 assists and rebounds in eight out of nine (88.9%) games with Zach Lavine, including each of the last eight, averaging 5.0 assists and 4.3 rebounds per game.
• At least 9 assists and rebounds in all five games with Lavine on the road, averaging 5.8 assists and 5.0 rebounds per game.
• Tied for a season-high 14 assists and rebounds the last time out (Feb. 26), recording eight assists on a season-high 18 potential assists and six rebounds on 10 chances.
• At least 8 assists and rebounds in 15 out of the last 16 (93.8%) games against Houston, averaging 5.9 assists and 5.5 rebounds per game.
• At least 9 rebounds and assists in both career games against Houston with Sacramento, despite playing alongside Fox, averaging 5.0 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game.
• At least 8 assists and rebounds in each of the last 15 games playing 25-plus minutes against Houston, averaging 5.7 assists and 5.7 rebounds per game.

Brook Lopez Over 12.5 Points 

-110, ESPNBet

• At least 13 points in 33 out of 58 (51.7%) games.
• At least 17 points in four out of seven (57.1%) games with Kevin Porter Jr., averaging 15.4 points on 9.7 shots.
• At least 13 points in 16 out of 27 (59.3%) games without Pat Connaughton (OUT), averaging 14.4 points on 10.8 shots.
• At least 13 points in seven out of 11 (63.6%) games without Bobby Portis (OUT), averaging 15.9 points on 11.7 shots.
• At least 15 points in six out of nine (66.7%) games with Kyle Kuzma, averaging 15.4 points on 10.8 shots.
• At least 17 points in three out of four (75%) games without Portis and Connaughton, scoring 12 points on 10 shots in the only miss (Feb. 25), averaging 18.3 points on 12.8 shots.
• At least 17 points in four out of five (80%) games with Jericho Sims, scoring 12 points on 10 shots in the only miss (Feb. 25), averaging 18.2 points on 11.8 shots.
• At least 13 points in both career regular season games against Dallas with Milwaukee, despite playing less than 24 minutes alongside Portis and Connaughton in both outings, averaging 13.5 points on 10.0 shots.
• The Mavericks allow the seventh-most points to opposing centers.