NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Tyler LockettReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Rams vs. Seahawks
Right now, Tyler Lockett’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-125/-105).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 49.5 (-105) after it opened @ 56.5 (-115).
Pros
- Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 60.6% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
- The Seahawks offense has played at the 9th-fastest tempo in football (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 26.93 seconds per snap.
- In this week’s game, Tyler Lockett is predicted by the projections to rank in the 90th percentile among wideouts with 8.2 targets.
- With an extraordinary 23.9% Target% (87th percentile) this year, Tyler Lockett ranks as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in football.
- After averaging 82.0 air yards per game last season, Tyler Lockett has seen marked improvement this season, now averaging 87.0 per game.
Cons
- Tyler Lockett’s 8.2 adjusted yards per target this season marks a substantial decrease in his receiving ability over last season’s 9.6 mark.
- Tyler Lockett is positioned as one of the weakest wideouts in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.87 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 23rd percentile.
- This year, the strong Los Angeles Rams defense has allowed a measly 58.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.
- This year, the daunting Los Angeles Rams defense has conceded the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a measly 7.4 yards.
Projection
THE BLITZ
69
Receiving Yards
69
Receiving Yards
