Week 11 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Kenneth Walker III from EV Insight

Kenneth Walker IIIRushing Yards

Right now, Kenneth Walker III’s rushing yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-125/-104).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 59.5 (-104) after it opened @ 66.5 (-114).

Pros

The Seahawks offense has played at the 9th-fastest tempo in football (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 26.93 seconds per snap.
The projections expect Kenneth Walker to earn 16.5 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
Among all running backs, Kenneth Walker ranks in the 99th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 70.7% of the workload in his offense’s rushing attack.
Kenneth Walker has averaged 65.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest marks in football when it comes to running backs (89th percentile).
The Los Angeles Rams defense has had the 7th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding 4.57 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Cons

The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 7th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 39.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
When it comes to run-blocking (and the impact it has on all run game statistics), the O-line of the Seattle Seahawks ranks as the 4th-worst in football last year.
The Los Angeles defensive tackles project as the 4th-best DT corps in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
79
Rushing Yards