Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
D’Onta ForemanRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Bears vs. Panthers
Right now, D’Onta Foreman’s rushing yards prop is set at 61.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 61.5 (-110) after it opened @ 28.5 (-113).
Pros
- The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chicago Bears to run on 52.7% of their opportunities: the greatest rate among all teams this week.
- In this contest, D’Onta Foreman is projected by the projection model to place in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.9 rush attempts.
- D’Onta Foreman has grinded out 56.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest marks in the NFL among running backs (84th percentile).
- This year, the poor Panthers run defense has surrendered a colossal 147.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 2nd-most in the league.
Cons
- The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Projection
THE BLITZ
78
Rushing Yards
78
Rushing Yards
