WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
George KittleReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Browns vs. 49ers
Right now, George Kittle’s receiving yards prop is set at 36.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 36.5 (-110) after it opened @ 37.5 (-114).
Pros
- George Kittle has run a route on 84.0% of his offense’s passing plays this year, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
- The leading projections forecast George Kittle to accrue 4.9 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 80th percentile when it comes to TEs.
- George Kittle has accrued a massive 37.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
- George Kittle has been among the best TE receiving threats this year, averaging an exceptional 44.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.
- George Kittle has been among the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL among TEs, averaging a fantastic 10.06 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 95th percentile.
Cons
- A rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.
- Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the 49ers to pass on 52.6% of their chances: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
- Right now, the most sluggish paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the San Francisco 49ers.
- Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 27.0 per game) this year.
- The San Francisco O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
33
Receiving Yards
33
Receiving Yards
