WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Rhamondre StevensonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Raiders vs. Patriots
Right now, Rhamondre Stevenson’s rushing yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-135/-101).
The public has bet the OVER up to 50.5 (-135) after it opened @ 47.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Patriots rank as the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 42.2% run rate.
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are expected by the model to call 64.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
- The New England Patriots have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 61.4 plays per game.
- In this game, Rhamondre Stevenson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs with 12.8 rush attempts.
- The Las Vegas Raiders defense owns the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, giving up 4.85 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Cons
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- Rhamondre Stevenson has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (36.0) this season than he did last season (59.0).
- Rhamondre Stevenson’s 2.7 adjusted yards per carry this year conveys a a remarkable reduction in his running proficiency over last year’s 4.8 figure.
- Rhamondre Stevenson has taken a step back when it comes to generating extra rushing yardage this year, notching 1.79 yards-after-contact vs a 3.81 mark last year.
- The Raiders defensive ends profile as the 3rd-best group of DEs in football this year in regard to defending the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
57
Rushing Yards
57
Rushing Yards
