WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Daniel JonesPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Dolphins vs. Giants
Right now, Daniel Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 218.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Giants are a big 13-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
- The leading projections forecast the Giants to be the 6th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- The projections expect the New York Giants offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.
- In this week’s contest, Daniel Jones is anticipated by the projection model to wind up with the 9th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 35.7.
- Opposing QBs have passed for the 6th-most adjusted yards in the league (269.0 per game) vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year.
Cons
- The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
- Daniel Jones has been among the least effective QBs in the NFL this year, averaging just 6.02 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 21st percentile.
- The Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
246
Passing Yards
246
Passing Yards
