Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for George Kittle from EV Insight

George KittleReceiving Yards

Right now, George Kittle’s receiving yards prop is set at 41.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 41.5 (-110) after it opened @ 39.5 (-110).

Pros

George Kittle has run a route on 83.3% of his offense’s passing plays this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among tight ends.
Our trusted projections expect George Kittle to total 5.3 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among tight ends.
George Kittle has been among the top tight ends in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a remarkable 7.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 75th percentile.

Cons

This week’s line indicates a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 54.5% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect the 49ers offense as the most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 31.28 seconds per play.
Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being predicted in this game) usually cause decreased passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.5 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
38
Receiving Yards