Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Austin HooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Raiders vs. Steelers
Right now, Austin Hooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 18.5 yards (+104/-142).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 18.5 (-142) after it opened @ 20.5 (-117).
Pros
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- Austin Hooper has put up a whopping 27.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 83rd percentile among TEs.
- Austin Hooper’s 28.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 84th percentile for TEs.
- The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
- Austin Hooper has been among the most sure-handed receivers in football among TEs, completing an impressive 76.8% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 75th percentile.
Cons
- The Raiders are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 8th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.6 plays per game.
- Opposing teams have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the league.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the 7th-best LB corps in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
22
Receiving Yards
22
Receiving Yards
