Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Geno SmithPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Seahawks vs. Rams
Right now, Geno Smith’s passing yards prop is set at 253.5 yards (-137/+100).
The public has bet the OVER up to 253.5 (-137) after it opened @ 242.5 (-117).
Pros
- The Seahawks rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 63.7% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Geno Smith has been among the top quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 256.0 yards per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.
- Geno Smith has been among the most on-target passers in the league since the start of last season with a terrific 69.4% Completion%, grading out in the 97th percentile.
- Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 10th-highest rate in the league against the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season (71.8%).
Cons
- The Seahawks are a 4.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Projection
THE BLITZ
270
Passing Yards
270
Passing Yards
