Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
George KittleReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Steelers vs. 49ers
Right now, George Kittle’s receiving yards prop is set at 36.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 36.5 (-110) after it opened @ 38.5 (-113).
Pros
- George Kittle has run a route on 89.4% of his offense’s passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile among tight ends.
- THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to accumulate 5.5 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
- George Kittle has notched a monstrous 41.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 91st percentile among tight ends.
- George Kittle has been among the leading pass-game tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 49.0 yards per game while ranking in the 94th percentile.
- George Kittle has been among the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL among TEs, averaging a terrific 9.21 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 91st percentile.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in football.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties project as the 5th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
45
Receiving Yards
45
Receiving Yards
