WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Brandin CooksReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Colts vs. Texans
Right now, Brandin Cooks’s receiving yards prop is set at 77.5 yards (-114/-114).
The public has bet the OVER up to 77.5 (-114) after it opened @ 48.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.2% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
- The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Brandin Cooks to earn 8.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among WRs.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 9th-least total plays on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Houston Texans have run the 10th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.2 plays per game.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 5th-least in football.
- Brandin Cooks has totaled quite a few less air yards this season (77.0 per game) than he did last season (93.0 per game).
- Brandin Cooks has notched a lot fewer receiving yards per game (48.0) this season than he did last season (64.0).
Projection
THE BLITZ
58
Receiving Yards
58
Receiving Yards
