Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Diontae Johnson from EV Insight

Diontae JohnsonReceiving Yards

Right now, Diontae Johnson’s receiving yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 50.5 (-115) after it opened @ 48.5 (-114).

Pros

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 61.1 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Diontae Johnson has run a route on 96.8% of his team’s passing plays this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to accumulate 8.2 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has conceded the 3rd-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (174.0) vs. wideouts this year.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Diontae Johnson has compiled substantially fewer receiving yards per game (58.0) this season than he did last season (73.0).
Diontae Johnson has been among the least efficient receivers in the league, averaging a measly 6.86 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 8th percentile among WRs
Diontae Johnson’s talent in generating extra yardage have worsened this season, accumulating a measly 2.80 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.97 mark last season.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has allowed their quarterback just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
56
Receiving Yards