Week 17 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kenny Pickett from EV Insight

Kenny PickettPassing Yards

Right now, Kenny Pickett’s passing yards prop is set at 195.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 195.5 (-110) after it opened @ 176.5 (-115).

Pros

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 61.1 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have thrown for the 3rd-most yards in football (267.0 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest rate in football vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year (75.3%).
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency this year, surrendering 8.30 yards-per-target: the 6th-most in the NFL.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has allowed their quarterback just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have used play action on just 18.5% of their passing plays since the start of last season (3rd-least in the league), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

Projection

THE BLITZ
216
Passing Yards