WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Jack StollReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Bears vs. Eagles
Right now, Jack Stoll’s receiving yards prop is set at 10.5 yards (-120/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 10.5 (-110) after it opened @ 12.5 (-120).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 7th-quickest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.58 seconds per play.
- Jack Stoll has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (36.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (11.8%).
- Jack Stoll has notched far more air yards this year (9.0 per game) than he did last year (1.0 per game).
- The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
- The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line has allowed their QB 2.90 seconds before the pass (best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
Cons
- The Eagles are a massive 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
- Opposing teams have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
- The Chicago Bears defense has yielded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 36.0) vs. tight ends this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
11
Receiving Yards
11
Receiving Yards
